CORTEXA
← Browse
arxivstat.MLcs.LGeess.SP2026-07-13

Dynamic Online Processor-Native Inference for State Estimation

Orestis Kaparounakis

Sensor-rich data-driven applications increasingly use Bayesian approaches to infer latent states of dynamic systems from noisy sensor measurements and physical models. Yet the computation of the likelihood remains an essential bottleneck for accurate posteriors and performant inference. This paper presents a Bayesian filtering technique that uses processor-native uncertainty tracking for both uncertainty propagation and inference. The technique implements deterministic hierarchical importance restructuring through a native operation, giving deterministic latency and bounded memory use for arbitrary models written as program code. Benchmarks across three nonlinear state-space systems compare the approach against particle filters and Monte-Carlo-based likelihood estimators. The technique enables deterministic approximate filtering with as high as 805$\times$ average speedup against direct Monte Carlo work at matched result quality for model evaluation, and Pareto-dominant accuracy-latency trade-offs for posterior inference while remaining competitive in RMSE with baseline particle filters.

View free PDFSource page

Related papers

arxivcs.LGcs.CVeess.SPstat.ML2026-07-15

PiVoT: A Variational Solution for Real-time Large-scale Multi-object Detection and Tracking under Heavy Clutter

Runze Gan, Qing Li, Simon J. Godsill, Mike E. Davies, James R. Hopgood

Multi-object detection and tracking from noisy point clouds remain challenging in many data-scarce radar applications. Current Bayesian trackers based on Poisson measurement models offer a training-free solution but struggle to achieve accuracy and efficiency under severe clutter…

View free PDFSource page
arxivstat.MLcs.LGeess.SP2026-07-24

Variational Low-rank Tensor Decomposition for Multisubject Spatiotemporal Data Analysis

Laura M. Montaldo, Ricardo A. Borsoi, Sebastian Miron, Tulay Adali

Modeling shared and subject-specific structure in multisubject spatiotemporal data remains challenging, particularly in neuroimaging, where both spatial and temporal patterns exhibit rich variability across subjects. Existing matrix and tensor decompositions provide interpretable…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.IReess.SPstat.ML2026-07-15

Gauge-Invariant, Parameter-Insensitive Regularization for Potential Recovery from Flow on Directed Graphs

Mohammad Forouhesh

Recovering a latent potential from observed flow on a directed graph (a discrete Poisson problem with Dirichlet boundaries) is ill-posed, and the standard fix backfires: ridge regularization shrinks toward a gauge-meaningless origin, collapsing and reversing the recovered orderin…

View free PDFSource page
arxivstat.MLcs.LGeess.SP2026-07-19

Kernel Regression with Tensor Trains and Hadamard Overparameterization

Duc Thien Nguyen, Konstantinos Slavakis, Eleftherios Kofidis, Dimitris Pados

Kernel regression with tensor trains and Hadamard overparameterization (KReTTaH) is introduced as a training-data-free, interpretable, and nonparametric framework for multi-way data imputation. The imputation problem is reformulated as regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spa…

View free PDFSource page
arxivstat.MLcs.LGcs.SIeess.SP2026-06-25

Directed Graph Topology Inference via Graph Filter Identification

Rasoul Shafipour, Andrei Buciulea, Santiago Segarra, Antonio G. Marques, Gonzalo Mateos

We address the problem of inferring a directed network from nodal measurements generated by linear diffusion dynamics on the sought graph. Observations are modeled as the outputs of a graph convolutional filter, i.e., a polynomial (with unknown coefficients) of a local diffusion…

View free PDFSource page