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arxiveess.SYcs.LG2026-07-18

Increasing Line Outage Localization Performance with Ensemble Classifiers

Daniel Flores, Yuanrui Sang, Michael P. McGarry

In many cases, the outage of one transmission line in a system can be localized by monitoring the power flow of another line, and machine learning methods can be used to distinguish the cases under uncertainty. In this study, we examine the improvements in line outage localization performance achieved by various ensemble classifiers compared to single-model methods. In the case studies, we compared the classification results with measurement data collected at observed transmission lines (OTLs) selected using three algorithms, i.e, greedy maximum coverage problem (MCP), high-eta, and random selection, based on two sensitivity factors, i.e., line outage distribution factors (LODFs) and line outage impact factors (LOIFs). We found that the OTLs selected by the greedy MCP algorithm yielded the highest F1 score and the ensemble classifiers significantly outperformed a base kNN classifier. The extra-trees bagging technique achieved the highest F1 score in many instances. All the findings were statistically significant.

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