Outbreak transmission reconstruction treats epidemiological timing and transmission labels as deterministic ground truth; neither has been systematically evaluated. We trained a logistic regression temporal prior on eleven disease families, locked all parameters before accessing any target outbreak data, and applied it without refitting to a strict Andes virus (ANDV) parent-ranking benchmark of 29 tasks. The locked prior achieved mean reciprocal rank (MRR) 0.571 versus 0.274 and Top-1 accuracy 37.9% versus 13.8% against the best source-trained parametric baseline (permutation p <= 0.0002; 7-8 reversals to lose MRR significance). A phylogenetic concordance audit of 75 NYC mpox inter-host pairs - independent label-reliability evidence rather than a prior validation - found that 54.67% (exact 95% CI: 42.75-66.21%) were genomically unresolved or unsupported. Retaining uncertain edges in ANDV and Guangdong Delta graphs shifted top-5 source-priority sets (Jaccard 0.429-0.667). Transmission-label uncertainty was measurable in the outbreak evidence modules examined, and retaining uncertain links changed which source cases were prioritized for intervention.
A central design principle in modern machine learning and artificial intelligence is to align a model's inductive bias with the structure of its input data. For matrix-valued inputs, relevant matrix-level relationships can be characterised through spectral values and spectral sub…
Automating theoretical research is constrained not only by the generation of candidate results, but also by their reliable evaluation. A common approach is to close the research loop with a large language model (LLM) reviewer. However, such reviewers remain empirically unreliable…
Singular value soft-thresholding can be computed via a reduction to the matrix polar decomposition, which allows one to exploit GPU-friendly algorithms for computing the polar decomposition. Empirically, there is a significant speed-up on GPUs compared to the standard approach us…
In this paper, we propose a new solution for addressing the content cold-start problem in industry-scale search and recommender systems. Compared to prior approaches, we have made the following new contributions: 1) our solution spans the entire multi-stage funnel and generalizes…
Dysphagia is a debilitating late effect of head and neck cancer (HNC) treatment, yet timely identification of at-risk patients remains challenging in survivorship care. Definitive assessment relies on videofluoroscopic imaging, as captured by the Dynamic Imaging Grade of Swallowi…
Electroencephalography (EEG) is widely used to diagnose neurological conditions, but its analysis usually relies on either predefined spectral features or deep neural networks. Predefined features carry a strong bias, since they fix in advance what counts as informative, while de…