Pixel-Precise Explainable Stress Indexing: A Semantic Segmentation Framework for Disease Severity Quantification in Field Crops
Plant diseases, resulting from both biotic and abiotic stresses, cause an estimated 20-40% loss in global agricultural yield annually, resulting in economic damages exceeding USD 220 billion. Accurate and scalable stress quantification is essential for precision agriculture, yet traditional manual assessments are labour-intensive and subjective. This paper proposes a unified deep learning pipeline integrating semantic segmentation, regression-based severity estimation, and disease classification. Stress severity is categorised into four levels (Low to Very High) based on the proportion of infected leaf area. Experiments on the Apple Tree Leaf Disease Segmentation dataset (1,641 samples, six classes) evaluate four models: U-Net (MobileNetV2), SegFormer, FCN, and PSPNet. U-Net with MobileNetV2 achieves the best performance with 98.20% pixel accuracy, 0.70 mIoU, and 99.41% detection accuracy at 14.7 ms per image, making it suitable for real-time use. SegFormer performs competitively (mIoU 0.66), while FCN and PSPNet show lower spatial accuracy (approximately 0.49 mIoU). The computed severity index strongly correlates with expert annotations (r = 0.968, R^2 = 0.937), demonstrating the system's reliability for automated crop monitoring and decision support.