arxivcs.LGmath.OCstat.ML2026-06-29
Decision-Value Attribution in Predict-then-Optimize Systems
Konstantinos Ziliaskopoulos, Alexander Vinel, Alice E. Smith
Predictive models are increasingly embedded in operational decision-making, yet standard explanation methods typically explain forecasts rather than the decisions those forecasts induce. This distinction is important in predict-then-optimize systems: large forecast changes may le…