arxivcs.LGcs.AI2026-07-23
Demographically-Informed Heat-Mortality Risk Curves via Risk Graph Neural Networks
Alex O. Davies, Eunice Lo, Rui Zhu
Estimating heat-related mortality risk is a core task in environmental epidemiology, typically addressed with Distributed Lag Non-linear Models (DLNMs); interpretable exposure-response surfaces fitted to temperature-mortality time series. DLNMs are effective but ignore demographi…