arxiveess.SY2026-07-31
Directional Conformal Uncertainty Quantification from Learned Model Discrepancy
Cesare Donati, Fabrizio Dabbene, Martina Mammarella
We propose a conformal prediction framework for quantifying the error of physics-based predictors used in control, where simple models are preferred for synthesis, certification, and real-time use. Because these models are selected for compatibility with the intended application…