arxivecon.GNeess.SY2026-07-01
How optimistic inflow forecasts distort dispatch, prices, and contracts in hydro-dominated power systems: evidence from Brazil
Arthur Brigatto, Alexandre Street, Joaquim Dias Garcia
Centralized hydrothermal planning models determine generation schedules and electricity spot prices based on inflow forecasts in audited-cost power systems, such as those prevalent in Latin America, and provide operational benchmarks and decision support in hydro-dominated compet…