arxivstat.MLcs.AIcs.LG2026-06-28
Self-Organized Conformal Prediction: Reducing Regional Coverage Gaps with Unsupervised Group Discovery
Louis Berthier, Ahmed Shokry, Maxime Moreaud, Guillaume Ramelet, Aymeric Dieuleveut
Conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, but pooled calibration averages over heterogeneous regions and can mask regional undercoverage in safety-critical subgroups. We introduce Self-Organized Conformal Prediction (SOCP), a calibration scheme that discovers input-space…