Good Practice Guide for quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models applied to photoplethysmography signals

P. Harris, C. Bench, M. Rinkevičius, V. Marozas, L. Coquelin, A. Thompson, M. Nandi, U. Hackstein, P. J. Aston

This Good Practice Guide presents work done in the QUMPHY project (Uncertainty quantification for machine learning models applied to photoplethysmography signals) that considered both machine learning and uncertainty quantification for problems which used photoplethysmography (PPG) signals from wearable devices as input. It provides high-level guidance on what types of machine learning model might be used and how different models compare when applied to both regression and classification tasks. It provides guidance on the implementation of different methods for uncertainty quantification, covering both model-dependent and model-independent techniques, and on the validation of the results provided by those methods. It also describes six benchmark problems together with pointers to different benchmark datasets for each problem. Software is described that can assist practitioners in implementing the methods described herein and there is a brief consideration of ethical issues. It concludes with a summary and recommendations.