We study learning in prophet inequalities with i.i.d. rewards drawn from an exponential-type parametric family with an unknown parameter $θ$, a class that includes exponential, Pareto, and bounded-support power-family distributions. We first characterize the optimal full-information asymptotic competitive ratio for this family. In the unbounded-support case, the limit is $ {\left(θ/({θ-c_+})\right)^{c_+/θ}}/ {Γ(1-c_+/θ)},$ while in the bounded-support case, the limit is $1$. We then propose a confidence-based dynamic-programming policy for online learning. By exploiting the explicit parametric structure, the policy achieves the same optimal asymptotic competitive ratio using only online observations, without external offline samples. We further derive distribution-specific convergence rates for canonical examples. Finally, numerical experiments on synthetic instances illustrate the performance of our algorithm.
We study horizon-free regret minimization for finite-horizon time-homogeneous tabular Markov decision processes with $S$ states, $A$ actions, horizon $H$, and per-trajectory total reward bounded by $1$. We propose a new algorithm and prove a regret upper bound \[\tilde O(\sqrt{SA…
Gaussian graphical model selection is usually studied under independent sampling, but in many applications the data arise as a single trajectory of a dependent stochastic process. We study exact recovery of the graph from one trajectory of random-scan Gaussian Glauber dynamics. E…
We study the active learning problem of fixed-confidence top-$k$ identification from noisy pairwise comparisons. In this problem, an algorithm sequentially chooses pairs of items to compare, observes the outcomes, and stops when it can return the set of top-$k$ items with error p…
We prove that, in the realizable PAC setting, the sample complexity of exact-trace learning for full autoregressive Chain-of-Thought traces is upper bounded by the standard multiclass rate of the local next-token class, where this rate is governed by the Daniely--Shalev-Shwartz d…
A persistent empirical observation is that trained neural networks outperform their neural tangent kernel (NTK) limit on tasks with compositional structure, yet a quantitative account of $\textbf{when}$ and $\textbf{by how much}$ has been lacking. Working on the unit circle, we g…
Integrating information across related tasks can improve estimation and prediction in transfer, multi-task, and federated learning, but contamination and heterogeneity make robust borrowing challenging. We study a contaminated multi-task empirical risk minimization (ERM) framewor…