Estimation of Suspended Sediment Concentration along the Lower Brazos River Using Satellite Imagery and Machine Learning

Trevor Stull, Habib Ahmari

This article focuses on developing models that estimate suspended sediment concentrations (SSCs) for the Lower Brazos River, Texas, U.S. Historical samples of SSCs from gauge stations and satellite imagery from Landsat Missions and Sentinel Mission 2 were utilized to develop models to estimate SSCs for the Lower Brazos River. The models used in this study to accomplish this goal include support vector machines (SVMs), artificial neural networks (ANNs), extreme learning machines (ELMs), and exponential relationships. In addition, flow measurements were used to develop rating curves to estimate SSCs for the Brazos River as a baseline comparison of the models that used satellite imagery to estimate SSCs. The models were evaluated using a Taylor Diagram analysis on the test data set developed for the Brazos River data. Fifteen of the models developed using satellite imagery as inputs performed with a coefficient of determination R2 above 0.69, with the three best performing models having an R2 of 0.83 to 0.85. One of the best performing models was then utilized to estimate the SSCs before, during, and after Hurricane Harvey to evaluate the impact of this storm on the sediment dynamics along the Lower Brazos River and the model’s ability to estimate SSCs.