CORTEXA
← Browse
arxivcs.LGcs.AI2026-07-15

MxGPS: Multiplex Graph Transformers for a Power Grid Foundation Model

Charilaos Papaioannou, Ioannis Tsantilas, Dimitris Giannakakos, Vasilis Michalakopoulos, Sotiris Pelekis, Vangelis Marinakis, Arsam Aryandoust, Antonello Monti, Ricardo J. Bessa, Perdo P. Vergara, Jochen Cremer, Elissaios Sarmas

Single-task fine-tuning of graph neural networks (GNNs) for power grid problems exhibits a systematic failure mode: models that achieve the lowest in-distribution error degrade the most under topology shift. We term this topology overfitting: the tendency of task-specific gradient signals to encode relational structure particular to the training topologies rather than the underlying physics, causing models to fail on unseen grids despite strong in-distribution performance. To expose and address this failure mode, we introduce MxGPS (Multiplex GPS), a multiplex graph transformer that runs K task-specialised GPS branches over a shared node encoder, jointly trained on Static State Estimation (SSE) and AC Power Flow (PF) via a self-supervised pre-training and multi-task fine-tuning protocol, with a cross-branch attention module evaluated in ablation. The joint SSE+PF objective forces the shared encoder to simultaneously satisfy complementary gradient signals, preventing it from overfitting to topology-specific relational structure. Under a 3-fold sliding-window cross-validation spanning four unseen topologies (14-, 24-, 162-, and 300-bus), MxGPS attains 0% boundary violation rate (BVR) on all four zero-shot Power Flow topologies. Critically, models with substantially lower in-distribution PF error degrade by 190% to 1400% under topology shift, whereas MxGPS degrades by only 39%, an inversion that directly implicates topology overfitting as the failure mechanism rather than insufficient model capacity. With only 1.6M parameters (12x fewer than the GridFM reference baseline), MxGPS demonstrates that multi-task joint training is a principled and parameter-efficient mechanism for topology-agnostic generalisation in power grid foundation models.

View free PDFSource page

Related papers

arxivcs.LGcs.AI2026-07-07

X-FEMR: A Token-level Explainable Approach for Electronic Health Records Foundation Models using Transformer-based Models

Jie Huang, Pengfei Yin, Zihan Xu, Daniel Capurro, Mike Conway, Ting Dang

Foundation Models for Electronic Health Records (FEMRs) are pretrained on large-scale structured patient data, enabling them to convert longitudinal patient trajectories into generalizable representations for diverse clinical prediction tasks. Despite their effectiveness, FEMRs r…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AI2026-07-02

QuantFlow: A Federated Mamba-Based Post-Transformer Foundation Model for Time-Series Forecasting

Shah Nawaz Haider, Steve Austin, Arnab Barua, Sarowar Morshed Shawon, Hadaate Ullah

Time-series forecasting supports decisions in finance, en-ergy, transportation, public health, and industrial monitoring. Recent foundation models improve transfer across forecast-ing tasks, but many depend on centralized data and Trans-former attention, which restricts their use…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AI2026-07-04

When Does Small Data Work? Accuracy and Efficiency Trade-offs Between Tabular Foundation Models and Conventional Methods for Crowd-State Classification at Hajj and Umrah

AlJawharh S. AlOtaibi, Mohamed Eltahir, Jude AlSubaie

Learning from few labeled examples is a central challenge in tabular machine learning, and it becomes the binding constraint in domains where labeling is costly, such as crowd monitoring during Hajj and Umrah. Tabular foundation models, which predict from only a handful of exampl…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AI2026-06-29

Beyond IID: How General Are Tabular Foundation Models, Really?

Lennart Purucker, Andrej Tschalzev, Nick Erickson, Gioia Blayer, David Holzmüller, Alan Arazi, et al.

Foundation models for predictive machine learning on tabular data have recently gained significant traction in academia and industry. Research communities across disciplines are increasingly evaluating tabular foundation models on diverse datasets and tasks. However, these task-…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AIecon.GNphysics.ao-ph2026-07-03

A harmonised dataset for Earth system foundation models

Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo, Massimo Tavoni

Foundation models for Earth systems have so far been trained primarily on physical climate and weather data, with limited representation of the human systems that both drive and respond to environmental change. The lack of a unified global training resource that combines climate,…

Also available via: Nature Portfolio

View free PDFSource page