Spatio-temporal point-process models must often generalise across space when local event histories are sparse. We study whether exogenous spatial context can compensate in such regimes. Using a fixed log-Gaussian Cox process backbone, we compare an event-only model with the same model augmented by AlphaEarth embeddings as linear spatial context. We evaluate spatial transfer on emergency medical services (EMS) forecasting across eight held-out regions, fixed forecast anchors, and a sweep over history length $w$, using only AlphaEarth (AE) embeddings available strictly before each anchor. AE improves out-of-region predictive performance across all history regimes, with the largest gains under scarce histories: approximately $2$--$6\times$ multiplicative improvements at $1-2$ weeks, tapering to roughly $10$--$20\%$ at $w=20$--$104$ weeks. These results show that contextual information can substantially stabilise spatially transferred point-process forecasts when event history is limited.
Video Diffusion Transformers (VDiTs) have demonstrated significant capabilities in high-fidelity video generation. However, their ability to produce long-duration videos is fundamentally constrained by the quadratic complexity of the self-attention mechanism. Recent clustering-ba…
Reliable forecasting of several interrelated environmental variables - such as regional precipitation and temperature, or other correlated geophysical fields - across many locations calls for accurate predictions accompanied by trustworthy statements of their uncertainty. Modern…
We propose a novel approach to mine patterns in spatio-temporal event data based on discovering frequent closed embedded sub-Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs). In our method, event instances are represented as nodes labelled by event types, while edges capture spatio-temporal follow…
Accurate station-level demand forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of bike-sharing systems, yet it remains challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dependencies and the large scale of urban networks. This paper presents STAGformer, a Spatio-Temporal Agent Graph…
Real-world traffic data exhibit heterogeneous spatial correlations and nonlinear temporal dynamics, posing substantial challenges for accurate spatio-temporal forecasting. Existing approaches have developed increasingly sophisticated graph, attention, and decomposition architectu…
Temporal point processes (TPPs) have widespread applications across various domains. Compared to modeling the conditional intensity of a TPP, modeling its cumulative conditional intensity function (CCIF) improves computational efficiency and eliminates numerical approximation err…