Daniel Jenson

When Context Compensates for Sparse Event History: AlphaEarth for Spatio-Temporal Point-Process Forecasting

Yahya Aalaila, Mouad Elhamdi, Gerrit Großmann, Daniel Jenson, Elizaveta Semenova, Sebastian Vollmer

Spatio-temporal point-process models must often generalise across space when local event histories are sparse. We study whether exogenous spatial context can compensate in such regimes. Using a fixed log-Gaussian Cox process backbone, we compare an event-only model with the same…Read more