A Comprehensive Survey of Satellite-Based Wildfire Indicators and Spatiotemporal Modeling Approaches: Past, Present, and Future

Sri Nurdiati, Mohamad Khoirun Najib, Elis Khatizah, Lailan Syaufina, Mirza Farhan Azhari, Raihan Akbar

Wildfires pose increasing environmental and socio-economic risks, particularly in climate-sensitive and tropical regions, necessitating reliable satellite-based monitoring and predictive frameworks. This study presents a comprehensive survey of satellite-derived wildfire indicators and spatiotemporal modeling approaches, covering their historical development, current methodologies, and emerging research directions. We review major active fire and hotspot datasets derived from MODIS, VIIRS, and related platforms, along with key environmental drivers such as vegetation indices, meteorological variables, and land-surface with a specific case study for the Indonesian region. Modeling approaches are synthesized from classical statistical regression and time-series analysis to contemporary machine learning and deep learning architectures, including convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks, and transformer-based models. The analysis highlights the transition toward multi-source data integration and spatiotemporal deep learning frameworks capable of capturing complex wildfire dynamics. Finally, we identify future research challenges, including hybrid physical–AI modeling, uncertainty quantification, and scalable real-time wildfire intelligence systems. This survey provides a structured reference for researchers and practitioners seeking to advance satellite-based wildfire monitoring and prediction.