CORTEXA
← Browse
arxivcs.AIcs.CEcs.ETstat.APstat.ML2026-07-23

Unsupervised Consensus-Based Anomaly Detection for Spatiotemporal Malaria Incidence in Ghana

T. Ansah-Narh, Y. Asare Afrane

A consensus anomaly detection framework was applied to monthly malaria surveillance data from Ghana (2014-2023) to identify atypical transmission patterns. Anomalies were highly structured in space and time. Ashanti and Northern Regions accounted for most recurrent anomalies, with persistent hotspots at Tamale, Kumasi, and Accra. A key finding was the spatial distinction between anomaly burden (cumulative cases during anomalous periods) and anomaly frequency (persistence of unusual behaviour). Tamale had the highest burden during anomalies, whereas the highest anomaly rates clustered in Ashanti districts, showing that high-burden areas are not necessarily those with the most frequent anomalous transmission. Anomalous months formed a statistically distinct group, with much higher case counts (Cohen's $d = 3.252$) and large seasonal deviations ($d > 1.2$) compared with normal months. Malaria burden alone provides an incomplete picture of transmission dynamics. By distinguishing where malaria is most prevalent from where transmission behaves most unusually, this framework can strengthen surveillance, prioritise investigations, and support targeted control strategies.

View free PDFSource page

Related papers

arxivcs.AIcs.CLcs.LGstat.APstat.ML2026-07-02

Online Safety Monitoring for LLMs

Mona Schirmer, Metod Jazbec, Alexander Timans, Christian Naesseth, Maja Waldron, Eric Nalisnick

Despite alignment training, LLMs remain prone to generating unsafe outputs at deployment time. Monitoring outputs online and raising an alarm when safety can no longer be assumed is therefore critical. We study a simple real-time monitor that turns a verifier signal from an exter…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.AIcs.ARcs.CEcs.ETcs.RO2026-06-26

AI-Driven Synthesis for High-Tech System Design: Automating Innovation

Luuk Oerlemans, Steven Westerhof, Theo Hofman

This article addresses the combinatorial complexity inherent in modern high-tech system design by presenting automation-in-design (AiD) as a transformative paradigm. We propose computational design synthesis (CDS), a framework utilising deep learning and generative AI to automate…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.HCcs.AIcs.ETstat.AP2026-07-07

Digital Fragmentation and Generative AI Use Across 103 Million Application Events

Sumer S. Vaid, Ashley V. Whillans

Knowledge workers switch between applications thousands of times per day, spending nearly a tenth of the work year transitioning between digital applications in a process called digital fragmentation. Whether this fragmentation reflects who an employee is, where they work, or wha…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AIstat.ML2026-07-10

CLOE: Christoffel Loss Autoencoder for Anomaly Detection

Léa Billet, Louise Travé-Massuyès, Elodie Chanthery, Alexandre Gaffet

Semi-supervised anomaly detection plays a key role in diverse fields such as process monitoring, healthcare, and finance. However, lightweight methods often struggle with high-dimensional data and typically require careful tuning of multiple hyperparameters. Among existing approa…

View free PDFSource page
arxivcs.LGcs.AIstat.ML2026-06-29

What Drives the Inlier-Memorization Effect? A Theory of Outlier Detection via Early Training Dynamics

Kunwoong Kim, Dongha Kim

Outlier detection (OD) aims to identify anomalous instances by learning the underlying structure of normal data (inliers), and is particularly challenging in fully unsupervised settings where no information about anomalies is available during training. Recent advances have levera…

View free PDFSource page